Hate Being Right

About a year and a half ago, The Merger Verger commented on an acquisition by a company out of Australia, Ansell Limited (ASX: ANN). In the announcement of the deal CEO Magnus Nicolin was quoted as saying the following:

The overall integration process will be a gradual one as we take time to get to know the Comasec business.

Bend Over, Mon Petit Shareholder
Bend Over, Mon Petit Shareholder

TMV’s posting was entitled “Short This Stock” because we know that a “wait and see” approach to acquisition integration is usually a prescription for disaster. So we got to wondering how that whole thing panned out for old Magnus.

Ansell’s recent financial reports have pretty vague and jolly things to say about their recent acquisitions (the largest of which was Comasec) and they don’t break out comparative data. But the point of the Merger Verger’s commentary was on the value of the stock and that picture is not so rosy. Over the 18 months since our posting, Ansell’s shares have risen approximately 10% while the S&P/ASX Health Care index has risen over 30%.

In other words, had you invested in the index instead of Ansell, you would have had less risk due to diversification and a gain three times greater.   (Yoo hoo, Magnus?)

One chart says it all (blue line = Ansell, black line = Health Care index; time horizon = 2 years to today):Ansell shares 2yr v Index

Lousy acquisition integration practices followed by lousy stock performance … cause and effect? Who knows? But an integration strategy as dumb as “wait and see” surely didn’t help.

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